Making Forecasts Better
GSD's Earth Modeling develops storm-scale-to-global scale weather, air quality, coupled, and seasonal data assimilation and prediction models to be used in forecast operations. These modeling systems deliver forecasts and predictions of weather, including severe weather events, within the next few minutes to weeks away. As part of that work, the Assimilation Development Branch develops advanced observational data assimilation techniques, including for radar and satellite data but also for all observational data. These assimilation techniques are applied in particular for regional models but with some applications starting for global model data assimilation.
Earth Modeling as a whole, works to:
- Develop research modeling and assimilation suitable for operations
- Transfer research to operations primarily within NOAA
- Collaborate and innovate within community modeling and assimilation efforts including NCEP, NCAR, other ESRL divisions and OAR laboratories, universities, international communities
- Address both global and regional modeling efforts with the same scientific expertise/techniques/code where possible
- Work with other ESRL divisions and GSD branches to broaden atmospheric modeling into Earth system including chemistry, ocean, and biosphere