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Documentation (CT2009)
Biosphere Oceans Observations Fires Fossil Fuel TM5 Nested Model Assimilation
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Observations [goto top]
1.   Introduction
The observations of CO2 mole fraction by NOAA ESRL and partner laboratories are at the heart of CarbonTracker. They inform us on changes in the carbon cycle, whether they are regular (such as the seasonal growth and decay of leaves and trees), or irregular (such as the release of tons of carbon by a wildfire). The results in CarbonTracker depend directly on the quality, amount and location of observations available, and the degree of detail at which we can monitor the carbon cycle reliably increases strongly with the density of our observing network.

2.   Detailed Description
This study uses measurements of air samples collected at surface sites in the NOAA ESRL Cooperative Global Air Sampling Network and the CSIRO Air Sampling Network available for each year studied, except those flagged for analysis or sampling problems, or those thought to be influenced by local sources. The sites for which data are available thus varies each week depending on successful sampling and analysis, and each site's sampling frequency. In addition, we use in situ quasi-continuous CO2 time series from the following towers:

  • the 107m level of the AMT tower in Argyle, Maine
  • the 300m level of the BAO tower in Boulder, Colorado
  • the 396m level of the LEF tower in Park Falls, Wisconsin
  • the 305m level of the SCT tower in Beech Island, South Carolina
  • the 17m level of the SNP tower in Shenandoah National Park, Virginia
  • the 379m level of the WBI tower in West Branch, Iowa
  • the 483m level of the WGC tower in Walnut Grove, California
  • the 457m level of the WKT tower in Moody, Texas

  • the 30m level of the tower at Candle Lake (CDL, formerly Old Black Spruce), Saskatchewan, Canada operated by Environment Canada (EC);
  • the 105m level of the tower in East Trout Lake, Saskatchewan, Canada (ETL) operated by EC
  • the 40m level of the tower in Fraserdale, Ontario, Canada (FRD) operated by EC
  • the 10m level of the tower in Lac Labiche, Alberta, Canada (LLB) operated by EC

  • the 60m level of the tower at the Atmospheric Radiation and Monitoring (ARM) Carbon Project Southern Great Plains, Oklahoma site (SGP) operated by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL).

Other in situ quasi-continuous CO2 time series used are from the NOAA ESRL observatories at Barrow (BRW), Mauna Loa (MLO), Samoa (SMO), and South Pole (SPO); the EC Canadian sites at Alert, Nunavut (ALT), Sable Island, Nova Scotia (SBL) and Egbert, Ontario (EGB); and the NCAR sites at Niwot Ridge, Colorado (NWR) and Storm Peak Laboratory, Colorado (SPL). Note that all of these observations are calibrated against the same world CO2 standard (WMO-X2007). Also, note that aircraft observations from the NOAA ESRL program were NOT assimilated, but used for independent assessment of the CarbonTracker results.

For most of the quasi-continuous sampling sites, we construct an afternoon daytime average mole fraction for each day from the time series, recognizing that our atmospheric transport model does not always capture the continental nighttime stability regime while daytime well-mixed conditions are better matched. At mountain-top sites (MLO, NWR, and SPL), we use an average of nighttime hours as this tends to be the most stable time period and avoids periods of upslope flows that contain local vegetative and/or anthropogenic influence. Moreover, observations at sub-daily time scales are likely to be strongly correlated and therefore add relatively little independent information to our results. Also based on Transcom continuous simulations, we decided to move a set of coastal sites by one degree into the ocean to force the model sample to be more representative of the actual site conditions. These sites are labeled for reference in the complete table of sites used in CarbonTracker. Table 1 summarizes how data from the different measurement programs are preprocessed for this study.

The preprocessed data used in CarbonTracker are freely available for download. Preprocessed data are not the original measurement data! Users are encouraged to review the literature and contact the measurement labs directly for details about and access to the actual observations.

Table 1: Summary of CarbonTracker data preprocessing.
Measurement ProgramData Preprocessing
ESRL discrete surfaceAll retained data. Multiple values from the same day and location are averaged. No sample time-of-day restriction.
ESRL observatories (BRW, SMO, SPO)All baseline data. Day average using 12-16 LST.
ESRL observatories (MLO)All baseline data. Day average using 0-4 LST.
ESRL tower sitesAll valid data from highest intake. Day average using 12-16 LST.
EC in situ sitesAll valid data from highest intake. Day average using 12-16 LST.
NCAR in situ sitesAll valid data from highest intake where 1σ of hourly average < 1 ppm. Day average using 0-4 LST.
CSIRO discrete surfaceAll retained data. Multiple values from the same day and location are averaged. No sample time-of-day restriction.
LBNL in situ sitesAll valid data for the period 2003-2004. Day average using 14-18 LST.

We apply a further selection criterion during the assimilation to exclude non-marine boundary layer (MBL) observations that are very poorly forecasted in our framework. We use the so-called model-data mismatch in this process, which is the random error ascribed to each observation to account for measurement errors as well as modeling errors of that observation. We interpret an observed-minus-forecasted (OmF) mole fraction that exceeds 3 times the prescribed model-data mismatch as an indicator that our modeling framework fails. This can happen for instance when an air sample is representative of local exchange not captured well by our 1x1 degree fluxes, when local meteorological conditions are not captured by our offline transport fields, but also when large-scale CO2 exchange is suddenly changed (e.g. fires, pests, droughts) to an extent that can not be accommodated by our flux modules. This last situation would imply an important change in the carbon cycle and has to be recognized by the researchers when analyzing the results. In accordance with the 3-sigma rejection criterion, ~2% of the observations are discarded through this mechanism in our assimilations.

Table 2 (below) gives a summary of the observing sites used in CarbonTracker, and the performace of the assimilation scheme at each site. These diagnostics are useful for evaluating how well CarbonTracker does in simulating observed CO2.

Table 2: Summary of observing sites used in CarbonTracker and assimilation performance. Model-data-mismatch ("r") is a value assigned to a given site that is meant to quantify our expected ability to simulate observations there. This value is principally determined from the limitations of the atmospheric transport model. It is part of the standard deviation used to interpret the difference between a simulation first guess ("Hx") of an observation and the actual measured value ("z"). The other component, HPHT, is a measure of the ability of the ensemble Kalman filter to improve its simulated value for this observation by adjusting fluxes. These elements together form the innovation χ statistic for the site: χ = (z-Hx)/√(HPHT+r2). The innovation χ2 reported above is the mean of all squared χ values for a given site. An average χ2 below 1.0 indicates that the √(HPHT+r2) values are too large. Conversely, values above 1.0 mean that this standard deviation is underestimated. The bias and SE columns are statistics of the posterior residuals (final modeled values - measured values). The bias is the mean of these residuals; the SE is the standard error of those residuals.
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
ALT_01D0 ESRL Alert, Nunavut, Canada 82.45°N 62.52°W 200 434 434 0 1.50 0.77 0.45 0.98
ALT_06C0 EC Alert, Nunavut, Canada 82.45°N 62.51°W 200 2962 2962 0 2.50 0.30 0.19 10.29
AMT_01C3 ESRL Argyle, Maine, United States 45.03°N 68.68°W 50 1652 1637 15 3.00 1.03 0.54 3.26
ASC_01D0 ESRL Ascension Island, United Kingdom 7.92°S 14.42°W 54 760 760 0 0.75 1.01 -0.01 0.69
ASK_01D0 ESRL Assekrem, Algeria 23.17°N 5.42°E 2728 393 393 0 1.50 0.39 0.16 0.94
AZR_01D0 ESRL Terceira Island, Azores, Portugal 38.76°N 27.22°W 40 291 287 4 1.50 1.20 -0.70 22.85
BAL_01D0 ESRL Baltic Sea, Poland 55.42°N 16.96°E 3 745 745 0 7.50 0.32 -1.77 14.95
BAO_01C3 ESRL Boulder Atmospheric Observatory, Colorado, United States 40.05°N 105.01°W 1584 979 501 25 3.00 2.23 0.91 6.07
BKT_01D0 ESRL Bukit Kototabang, Indonesia 0.20°S 100.31°E 864 169 169 0 7.50 0.78 5.40 3.93
BME_01D0 ESRL St. Davids Head, Bermuda, United Kingdom 32.37°N 64.65°W 30 230 220 10 1.50 1.92 0.76 1.95
BMW_01D0 ESRL Tudor Hill, Bermuda, United Kingdom 32.27°N 64.87°W 30 287 286 1 1.50 1.03 0.60 1.34
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
BRW_01C0 ESRL Barrow, Alaska, United States 72.32°N 156.61°W 11 2466 2465 1 2.50 0.31 0.05 8.02
BRW_01D0 ESRL Barrow, Alaska, United States 72.32°N 156.59°W 11 399 397 2 1.50 0.83 -0.79 19.78
BSC_01D0 ESRL Black Sea, Constanta, Romania 44.17°N 29.67°E 3 334 330 4 7.50 1.05 -4.01 6.52
CBA_01D0 ESRL Cold Bay, Alaska, United States 54.20°N 162.72°W 21 613 589 24 1.50 2.01 -0.09 2.03
CDL_06C3 EC Candle Lake, Saskatchewan, Canada 53.99°N 105.12°W 600 1900 1894 6 3.00 0.62 0.00 13.05
CFA_02D0 CSIRO Cape Ferguson, Queensland, Australia 19.28°S 147.06°E 2 165 165 0 2.50 0.26 -0.46 1.15
CGO_01D0 ESRL Cape Grim, Tasmania, Australia 40.67°S 143.67°E 94 354 354 0 0.75 0.16 -0.02 0.34
CGO_02D0 CSIRO Cape Grim, Tasmania, Australia 40.68°S 143.69°E 94 343 343 0 0.75 0.16 -0.06 0.31
CHR_01D0 ESRL Christmas Island, Republic of Kiribati 1.70°N 157.17°W 3 355 355 0 0.75 1.36 -0.56 0.54
CRZ_01D0 ESRL Crozet Island, France 46.45°S 51.85°E 120 323 323 0 0.75 0.24 -0.03 0.33
CYA_02D0 CSIRO Casey, Antarctica, Australia 66.28°S 110.52°E 51 159 159 0 0.75 0.43 -0.30 0.30
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
EGB_06C3 EC Egbert, Ontario, Canada 44.23°N 79.78°W 251 1268 1223 45 3.00 1.53 -0.13 16.44
EIC_01D0 ESRL Easter Island, Chile 27.14°S 109.45°W 50 230 230 0 7.50 0.03 0.77 0.98
ETL_06C3 EC East Trout Lake, Saskatchewan, Canada 54.35°N 104.99°W 493 1193 1192 1 3.00 0.56 -0.41 16.41
FRD_06C3 EC Fraserdale, Canada 49.88°N 81.57°W 210 3006 2986 20 3.00 0.73 0.01 10.55
GMI_01D0 ESRL Mariana Islands, Guam 13.42°N 144.77°E 1 581 581 0 1.50 0.37 0.12 0.91
HBA_01D0 ESRL Halley Station, Antarctica, United Kingdom 75.57°S 26.50°W 30 410 410 0 0.75 0.19 -0.10 0.26
HUN_01D0 ESRL Hegyhatsal, Hungary 46.95°N 16.64°E 248 416 415 1 7.50 0.41 0.20 4.74
ICE_01D0 ESRL Storhofdi, Vestmannaeyjar, Iceland 62.29°N 20.22°W 118 399 398 1 1.50 0.48 0.08 0.97
IZO_01D0 ESRL Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain 28.30°N 16.47°W 2360 338 337 1 1.50 1.07 1.02 1.25
KEY_01D0 ESRL Key Biscayne, Florida, United States 25.67°N 79.20°W 3 283 283 0 2.50 0.34 0.23 1.40
KUM_01D0 ESRL Cape Kumukahi, Hawaii, United States 19.52°N 154.82°W 3 443 443 0 1.50 0.41 0.11 0.95
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
KZD_01D0 ESRL Sary Taukum, Kazakhstan 44.44°N 75.60°E 601 422 421 1 2.50 1.31 0.47 2.50
KZM_01D0 ESRL Plateau Assy, Kazakhstan 43.25°N 77.87°E 2519 376 372 4 2.50 1.18 0.67 2.58
LEF_01C3 ESRL Park Falls, Wisconsin, United States 45.95°N 90.27°W 472 5683 2816 37 3.00 0.91 0.36 8.22
LLB_06C0 EC Lac La Biche, Alberta, Canada 54.95°N 112.45°W 540 591 580 11 3.00 1.37 -1.51 23.98
MAA_02D0 CSIRO Mawson Station, Antarctica, Australia 67.62°S 62.87°E 32 173 173 0 0.75 0.39 -0.27 0.26
MHD_01D0 ESRL Mace Head, County Galway, Ireland 53.32°N 10.90°W 25 339 339 0 2.50 0.23 0.19 1.12
MID_01D0 ESRL Sand Island, Midway, United States 28.21°N 177.37°W 4 408 407 1 1.50 0.74 0.73 1.09
MKN_01D0 ESRL Mt. Kenya, Kenya 0.05°S 37.29°E 3897 85 85 0 2.50 1.07 1.87 1.97
MLO_01C0 ESRL Mauna Loa, Hawaii, United States 19.54°N 155.58°W 3397 2767 2767 0 0.75 0.86 -0.07 10.46
MLO_01D0 ESRL Mauna Loa, Hawaii, United States 19.53°N 155.57°W 3397 465 465 0 1.50 0.24 -0.66 18.01
MQA_02D0 CSIRO Macquarie Island, Australia 54.48°S 158.97°E 12 214 214 0 0.75 0.31 0.01 0.42
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
NMB_01D0 ESRL Gobabeb, Namibia 23.57°S 15.02°E 456 79 79 0 2.50 0.21 -5.10 44.36
NWR_01D0 ESRL Niwot Ridge, Colorado, United States 40.04°N 105.57°W 3523 403 402 1 1.50 0.90 0.53 1.36
NWR_01P0 ESRL Niwot Ridge, Colorado, United States 40.05°N 105.58°W 3523 426 412 14 1.50 1.53 -0.18 19.11
NWR_03C0 NCAR Niwot Ridge, Colorado, United States 40.05°N 105.58°W 3523 1779 893 1 3.00 0.32 -0.13 1.62
OBN_01D0 ESRL Obninsk, Russia 55.10°N 36.60°E 183 133 128 5 7.50 2.40 -1.78 12.19
OXK_01D0 ESRL Ochsenkopf, Germany 50.03°N 11.80°E 1022 91 82 9 2.50 2.30 -0.03 3.87
PAL_01D0 ESRL Pallas-Sammaltunturi, GAW Station, Finland 67.96°N 24.11°E 560 281 279 2 2.50 0.79 -1.36 23.67
POC_01D1 ESRL Pacific Ocean, N/A 0.39°S 131.35°W 10 1814 1814 0 0.75 1.09 -0.26 9.14
PSA_01D0 ESRL Palmer Station, Antarctica, United States 64.92°S 64.00°W 10 430 430 0 0.75 0.41 -0.20 0.34
PTA_01D0 ESRL Point Arena, California, United States 38.95°N 124.72°W 17 292 292 0 7.50 0.42 -2.66 4.04
RPB_01D0 ESRL Ragged Point, Barbados 13.17°N 59.42°W 45 401 401 0 1.50 0.67 -0.75 19.47
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
SBL_06C0 EC Sable Island, Nova Scotia, Canada 49.93°N 60.02°W 5 1722 1681 41 3.00 1.26 -0.19 13.94
SCT_01C3 ESRL Beech Island, South Carolina, United States 33.41°N 81.83°W 115 246 129 3 3.00 1.04 0.35 3.28
SEY_01D0 ESRL Mahe Island, Seychelles 4.67°S 55.17°E 3 392 392 0 0.75 0.99 0.01 0.74
SGP_01D0 ESRL Southern Great Plains, Oklahoma, United States 36.73°N 97.49°W 314 319 307 12 2.50 1.36 -1.17 22.91
SGP_64C3 LBNL Southern Great Plains, Oklahoma, United States 36.80°N 97.50°W 314 708 701 7 3.00 1.12 0.14 3.07
SHM_01D0 ESRL Shemya Island, Alaska, United States 52.72°N 174.09°E 40 327 327 0 2.50 0.84 0.13 2.19
SMO_01C0 ESRL Tutuila, American Samoa 14.25°S 170.56°W 42 2927 2927 0 0.75 0.54 -0.08 7.17
SMO_01D0 ESRL Tutuila, American Samoa 14.24°S 170.57°W 42 475 475 0 1.50 0.15 0.02 0.55
SNP_01C3 ESRL Shenandoah National Park, United States 38.62°N 78.35°W 1037 270 143 4 3.00 1.59 -6.04 49.97
SPL_03C0 NCAR Storm Peak Laboratory (Desert Research Institute), United States 40.45°N 106.73°W 3210 2059 1040 3 3.00 0.50 -1.12 17.32
SPO_01C0 ESRL South Pole, Antarctica, United States 89.98°S 24.80°W 2810 3171 3171 0 0.75 0.12 -0.20 6.85
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
SPO_01D0 ESRL South Pole, Antarctica, United States 89.97°S 24.80°W 2810 439 439 0 1.50 0.03 -0.88 18.37
STM_01D0 ESRL Ocean Station M, Norway 66.00°N 2.00°E 0 774 771 3 1.50 0.68 0.28 1.13
SUM_01D0 ESRL Summit, Greenland 72.57°N 38.47°W 3238 330 330 0 1.50 0.55 0.43 0.98
SYO_01D0 ESRL Syowa Station, Antarctica, Japan 69.00°S 39.57°E 11 210 210 0 0.75 0.34 -2.10 26.52
TAP_01D0 ESRL Tae-ahn Peninsula, Republic of Korea 35.72°N 125.12°E 20 310 310 0 7.50 0.33 0.74 4.22
TDF_01D0 ESRL Tierra Del Fuego, Ushuaia, Argentina 54.87°S 68.47°W 20 128 128 0 0.75 0.58 -0.21 0.45
THD_01D0 ESRL Trinidad Head, California, United States 41.03°N 125.15°W 107 277 251 26 2.50 3.34 -2.34 3.92
UTA_01D0 ESRL Wendover, Utah, United States 39.89°N 114.72°W 1320 383 383 0 2.50 0.64 0.42 1.82
UUM_01D0 ESRL Ulaan Uul, Mongolia 44.45°N 111.09°E 914 418 412 6 2.50 1.19 0.03 2.80
WBI_01C3 ESRL West Branch, Iowa, United States 41.72°N 91.35°W 242 1084 538 18 3.00 1.53 -1.07 24.59
WGC_01C3 ESRL Walnut Grove, California, United States 38.26°N 121.49°W 0 826 408 18 3.00 1.80 -1.60 29.11
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
WIS_01D0 ESRL Sede Boker, Negev Desert, Israel 31.12°N 34.87°E 400 442 440 2 2.50 0.70 -0.07 2.05
WKT_01C3 ESRL Moody, Texas, United States 31.32°N 97.33°W 251 3002 1495 14 3.00 0.81 -0.35 14.70
WLG_01D0 ESRL Mt. Waliguan, Peoples Republic of China 36.28°N 100.91°E 3810 312 305 7 1.50 1.16 0.03 1.63
ZEP_01D0 ESRL Ny-Alesund, Svalbard, Norway and Sweden 78.90°N 11.87°E 475 486 484 2 1.50 1.29 -0.07 18.00
All-site summary - - - 60716 60303 413 - 0.71 -0.23 12.06