Project Status: 7 January 2006
Little change since yesterday's update:
Dry in the ARB for the near-term. The models are in general agreement about a system impacting the ARB on ~ January 11th. However, at this time it is likely to be a cold system with little or no precipitation. One or two model outliers suggest other possibilities, but... we'll see tomorrow: same bat-time, same bat-channel.
Long-range prospects do not appear to be very promissing either, with the ridge indicating that it wants to anchor itself in place, blocking west coast systems. All this makes one wonder what we were all excited about last week. What happened with respect to the eastward propagating MJO would be an interesting topic for discussion. This is why HMT is here!
Schneider