Kathy PegionResearch Scientist II
- Ph.D., Climate Dynamics, George Mason University/COLA, 2007
- M.S., Meteorology, Florida State University, 1999
- B.S., Meteorology, Florida State University, 1998
- B.S., Computer Science, Florida State University, 1998
My research focuses on climate variability, predictability, and prediction on intrasesaonal to interannual (ISI) timescales (two weeks to several years) using state-of-the-art coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation models. My primary research goal is to improve the ability to provide useful, reliable predictions on weekly, monthly, seasonal, and annual timescales. To accomplish this, my research seeks to answer the following broad research questions:
- How does the ocean-atmosphere system vary on ISI timescales and how well do CGCMs represent this variability?
- What is and is not predictable on these timescales?
- How will ISI variability and predictabilty change in a changing climate?
- What limits our ability to make more skillful predictions?
- How can we make the best ISI forecasts possible given current tools?
- How can ISI forecasts be used to provide useful climate information to stakeholders?
- National Multimodel Ensemble (Multi-institutional NOAA/CPO Funded Project)
- A Conditional Skill Mask for Improved Seasonal Predictions
- The Seasonal Footprinting Mechanism in CFSv2: Implications for ENSO predictions
Document maintained by Kathy Pegion (Kathy.Pegion@noaa.gov)
Last updated: Apr 29, 2013