Publications:

Ray, AJ, and RS Webb. 2015. Understanding the user context: decision calendars as frameworks for linking climate to policy, planning and decision-making. In: Climate in Context: Lessons learned from the RISA Program, Parris, A, et al, eds. Wiley & Sons. In press. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/andrea.ray/Ray_Webb_prepublication.pdf

Gordon, E., Dilling, L, McNie, E, Ray, AJ. 2015. Navigating Scales of Knowledge and Decision Making in the Intermountain West: Implications for Science Policy. In: Climate in Context: Lessons learned from the RISA Program, Parris, A, et al, eds. Wiley & Sons. In press. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/andrea.ray/Gordon_Navigating_prepublication.pdf

Ballard, Tristan, Richard Seager, Jason E. Smerdon, Benjamin I. Cook, Andrea J. Ray, Balaji Rajagopalan, Yochanan Kushnir, Jennifer Nakamura, and Naomi Henderson, 2014: Hydroclimate Variability and Change in the Prairie Pothole Region, the “Duck Factory” of North America. Earth Interact., 18: 1–28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/EI-D-14-0004.1

Ray, AJ, Liebmann, Brant, and Allured, DA. 2014b. Climate Analysis, Chapter 7 in Wyoming Basin Rapid Ecoregional Assessment, USGS report to the US Bureau of Land Management, in press.

Barsugli, JJ, G Guentchev, RM Horton, A Wood, LO Mearns, XZ Liang, JA Winkler, K Dixon, K Hayhoe, RB Rood, L Goddard, AJ Ray, L Buja, C Ammann. 2013. The Practitioner's Dilemma: How to Assess the Credibility of Downscaled Climate Projections. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union 94 (46), 424-425. http://doi:10.1002/2013EO460005

Cayan, D.,et al. 2013. “Future Climate: Projected Average.” In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 101–125. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Washington, DC: Island Press. http://swcarr.arizona.edu/chapter/6

Gershunov, A., et al. 2013. “Future Climate: Projected Extremes.” In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 126–147. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Washington, DC: Island Press. http://swcarr.arizona.edu/chapter/7

Carr, N.B., Garman, S.L., Walters, A, Ray, AJ, Melcher, C.P., Wesner, J.S., O’Donnell, M.S., Sherrill, K.R., Babel, N.C., and Bowen, Z.H., 2013: Wyoming Basin Rapid Ecoregional Assessment work plan. USGS Open-File Report 2013–1223, 58 p., http://dx.doi.org/10.3133/ofr20131223.

McWethy, David B. et al. 2010. Climate and Ecosystem Change in the U.S. Rocky Mountains and Upper Columbia Basin: Historic and Future Perspectives for Natural Resource Management. USGS Natural Resource Report NPS/GRYN/NRR—2010/260. 97pp. http://www.montana.edu/mcwethy/pubs/McWethy2010_NPS_Climate_Synthesis.pdf

Ray, A.J., Joseph J. Barsugli, Jr., Klaus E. Wolter, Jon K. Eischeid. 2010. Rapid-Response Climate Assessment to Support the FWS Status Review of the American Pika. NOAA Report to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. 53pp. Available at: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/news/2010/020210.html

Rajagopalan, B., K. Nowak, J. Prairie, M.P. Hoerling, B. Harding, J.J. Barsugli, A.J. Ray, & B. Udall. 2009. Water Supply Risk on the Colorado River: Can Management Mitigate? Water Resources Research, 45: W08201, http://doi:10.1029/2008WR007652.

Lowery, J.L., A.J. Ray, R.S. Webb. 2009. Factors Influencing the Use of Climate Information by Colorado Municipal Water Managers. Journal of Climate Research, 40: 103-119. http://doi:10.3354/cr00827

Kenney, D., A.J. Ray, B. Harding, R.S. Pulwarty, B. Udall, 2008. Rethinking Vulnerability on the Colorado River. Journal of Contemporary Water Research & Education. 40: 103-119. http://doi:10.1111/j.1936-704X.2010.00068.x

Ray, A.J., J.J. Barsugli, K.B Averyt, K.Wolter, M. Hoerling, 2008. Colorado Climate Change: A Synthesis To Support Water Resource Management and Adaptation, a report for the Colorado Water Conservation Board by the NOAA-CU Western Water Assessment, http://wwa.colorado.edu/publications/reports/WWA_ClimateChangeColoradoReport_2008.pdf

Ray, A.J., G.M. Garfin, R.Varady, et al. 2007. Monsoon Region Climate Applications: Integrating Climate Science with Regional Planning and Policy, BAMS, 88:933–935. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-88-6-933

Ray, AJ, GM Garfin, M Wilder, M Vásquez-León, M Lenart, and AC Comrie, 2006. Applications of monsoon research: Opportunities to inform decisionmaking and reduce regional vulnerability. Journal of Climate, 20: 1608–1627. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI4098.1

Ray, AJ. 2003. Reservoir management in the Interior West: the influence of climate variability and functional linkages of water. Pp 193-217 in Climate, water, and transboundary challenges in the Americas, Henry Diaz and Barbara Morehouse, eds. Kluwer Press. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/andrea.ray/Ray_ch15inDiaz_03.pdf

Select Other Publications:

Ray, A.J., 2008. Water Resources Decision-Makers and their needs for Decadal Climate Prediction, US CLIVAR Variations Newsletter, Oct 2008. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/andrea.ray/Ray_CLIVAR_Variations_08.pdf

Ray, AJ, JJ Barsugli, and T Hamill. 2007. Integrating assessments of user needs with weather research: Developing user-centric tools for reservoir management. AMS 16^th Conf on Applied Climatology: Extended Abstracts. Boston: AMS. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/andrea.ray/AMS07_extended_abstract_ajr_final.pdf

Ray, AJ. 2005-2009. Lead editor of the “Intermountain West Climate Summary,” a product of the Western Water Assessment (WWA) RISA http://wwa.colorado.edu/climate/iwcs/archives; wrote/co-authored numerous feature articles, focus pages, and technical discussions including Water Resources Decision-Makers and Their Needs for Decadal Climate Prediction (May 2009), Meet the MJO, (May 2008), Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability: A Summary of the Report from IPCC Working Group 2 and Implications for the Western U.S. (Nov 2007), A Review of Monthly/Seasonal Climate Variability for 2005-2006: The ENSO Cycle (Nov 2006), New Streamflow Reconstructions for the Upper Colorado River Basin: Placing Recent Droughts into a Centuries-Long Context (June 2006), The State of Western Water:  Summer 2005 (July 2005), Colorado River Basin Water Year 2005 Outlook (Jan 2005).

Ray, AJ, Nancy Schmidt, BJ Morehouse, and RS Webb, 2003: Report on Research Opportunities for Climate and Society Interactions in the North American Monsoon Region. Workshop on Applications and Human Dimensions of Monsoon Research 18‑20 June 2001, Tucson, AZ, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, University of Arizona, 42 pp. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/andrea.ray/MonsoonCSI_rept_2002.pdf

Ray, AJ, and RS Webb. 2000. Demand-side perspective on climate services for reservoir management. Proceedings of the Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Palisades, NY, 23-27 October 2000. pp 219-222. http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/people/andrea.ray/Ray_cdpw2000_proceedings.pdf

Ray, AJ, and RS Webb, 2000. CDC Experimental Climate Services: some perspectives from Current activities, Proceedings of the NOAA Applied Research Centers meeting, March 20-23, 2000, Palisades, NY. pp 219-222.   abstract.

Ray, AJ. 2000. Climate and Water Management in the Interior West: a critical water problems approach, Proceedings of the 16th Annual Pacific Climate Workshop on Climate Variability of the Eastern North Pacific and Western North America (PACLIM) , May 24-27 1999. Tehnical Report 65 of the Interagency Ecological Program for the Sacramento-San Joachin Delta., pp 171-182.  abstract.

Interagency Ecosystem Management Task Force, 1995: Science and Information Issues Chapter, Prince William Sound Ecosystem Management Case Study, for the White House Ecosystem Management Assessment,

Interagency Ecosystem Management Task Force, 1995: Institutional and Management Issues Chapter, Great Lakes Ecosystem Management Case Study for the White House Ecosystem Management Assessment.

Ray, A.J., and D. Atwood, eds. 1993. Report of the NOAA Workshop of Coral Ecosystem Research and Monitoring, NOAA Coastal Ocean Program & Office of Global Programs.