Paper Selected for 2009 Norbert Gerbier–Mumm International Award


June 25, 2008

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Marty Hoerling and Gary Bates of the NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Physical Sciences Division (PSD) and the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) are co-authors of a paper that has been selected to receive the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) 2009 Norbert Gerbier–MUMM International Award. The paper, entitled "Unraveling the Mystery of Indian Monsoon Failure during El Niño," was published in the October 2006 issue of Science. An Award Ceremony will take place June 2009 in Geneva, Switzerland.

Research findings in this paper could significantly impact forecasting of the Indian Monsoon. Using atmospheric circulation model experiments to analyze 132 years of rainfall data, the authors showed that El Niño events with the warmest sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the central equatorial Pacific more effectively produced drought conditions over India than similar events in the eastern equatorial Pacific.

The Norbert Gerbier–Mumm International Award is one of only four distinguished awards given annually by the WMO. Recipients are recognized for an original scientific paper on the influence of meteorology in a particular field of the physical, natural or human sciences, or on the influence of one of these sciences on meteorology. This achievement helps increase awareness of NOAA's collaborative research efforts to understand climate variability and change to enhance society's ability to plan and respond.

Citation: Kumar, K. Krishna, Balaji Rajagopalan, Martin Hoerling, Gary Bates, Mark Cane, 2006: Unraveling the Mystery of Indian Monsoon Failure During El Niño. Science, 314, 115-118. DOI: 10.1126/science.1131152

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