NOAA/ESRL/PSD Seasonal Forecast Guidance

Latest Seasonal Forecast Guidance, 0 and 1 Month Lead (click on Table headings below to enlarge):
Forecast Guidance Hindcast Skill
Precipitation Temperature
0 Month Lead US Precip Forecast 0 Month Lead US Temp Forecast
1 Month Lead US Precip Forecast 1 Month Lead US Temp Forecast
Precipitation Temperature
0 Month Lead US Precip Hindcast Skill 0 Month Lead US Temp Hindcast Skill
1 Month Lead US Precip Hindcast Skill 1 Month Lead US Temp Hindcast Skill


Seasonal Forecast Tool. 2-Tiered, 2-Category Method Examples (click on heading of table format desired):
Plot by Variable Plot by Forecast Method
SST Forecast Season1 Season2
CCA Method CCA, lag1 CCA, lag2
NCEP Model NCEP, lag1 NCEP, lag2
IRI Model IRI, lag1 IRI, lag2
Linear Model LM, lag1 LM, lag2
NSIPP Model NSIPP, lag1 NSIPP, lag2
CPC Constructed Analog CA, lag1 CA, lag2
Average of 6 Forecasts Ave, lag1 Ave, lag2
Persistence Pers, lag1 Pers, lag2
CCA Method Season1 Season2
SST SST, lag1 SST, lag2
Tropical Precip Trop Prec, lag1 Trop Prec, lag2
N. American Precip NA Prec, lag1 NA Prec, lag2
500mb Height 500Z, lag1 500Z, lag2
Surface Temp Temp, lag1 Temp, lag2

This is a Research and Development Application