The ESRL website will be unavailable for 24 hours starting Friday, March 6th at 5:00pm MT due to building maintenance.

Filtered Linear Inverse Modeling Tropical OLR, wind, and SST Anomalies and Pentads 1-5 Forecasts

Forecasts filtered using C-LIM filter, based upon the result that the eigenvectors of the system's dynamical evolution operator separate into two distinct, but nonorthogonal, subspaces: one governing the nearly uncoupled subseasonal dynamics ("internal"), and the other governing the strongly coupled longer term dynamics ("coupled"). Note that no temporal filtering is applied.