Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC) Demonstrations Workshop

November 13-15 in Boulder, Colorado

Presentations

Tuesday, 13 November
  1. ESPC: An Opportunity - Dr. David W. Titley
  2. ESPC Overview, Update, Workshop Goals - Dan Eleuterio & Jesse Carman
Wednesday, 14 November
  1. Demonstrations 1-3 Details and Science Plans
  2. Episodic Weather Extremes from Blocking - Chair Stan Benjamin
  3. Predicting Atmospheric Blocking - Randy Dole, NOAA/ESRL/PSD
  4. Extreme Weather Events: Predictability of Blocking Events and Related High Impact - Arun Kumar, NOAA/NCEP/CPC
  5. The Linkage between Stratospheric Processes and Blocking in the Northern Hemisphere
  6.     - Judith Perlwitz, NOAA/ESRL/PSD
  7. Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Threats - Melinda Peng
  8. Tropical Cyclones Seasonal Forecasts - Suzana Camargo, U Columbia
  9. Dynamic Hurricane Season Prediction with the NCEP T382 CFS CGCM- Jae Schemm, NCEP/CPC
  10. Forecastability of Tropical Cyclone Events on 5-30 Day Timescales - Russ Elsberry, NPS
  11. Arctic Ice Predictability - Phil Jones
  12. Mechanisms for Predictability of Arctic Sea Ice - Cecilia Bitz, U Washington
  13. Sea Ice Predictability in a Rapidly Changing Arctic Environment - Marika Holland, NCAR
  14. Navy's Current and Future Ice Forecasting Systems - Pam Posey, NRL-SSC (Jim Richman presenting)
Thursday, 15 November
  1. Demonstrations 4 & 5 Details and Science Plans
  2. Predictability of Circulation, Hypoxia, and Harmful Algal Blooms - Gregg Jacobs
  3. Toward the Prediction of K. brevis Red Tide on the West Florida Shelf - Bob Weisberg
  4. Predictability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation from Monthly
  5. to Decadal Timescales for Improved Weather and Climate Forecasts - Jim Richman
  6. Decadal AMOC and Climate Prediction at GFDL — Current Status and Plans - Thomas Delworth
  7. Interannual Variability of the AMOC and Ocean Heat Transport at 26.5° N observed by RAPID-MOCHA Array - B. Johns
  8. Experimental Seasonal Predictions of Hurricanes, Winter Storms, and Precipitation with GFDL's
  9.    High Resolution Atmosphere Model - S.-J. Lin
  10. NOAA's Ecological Forecasting Roadmap: Putting the Pieces Together - Allison Allen
  11. Demonstration Outbriefs
  12. Demo 1 - Stan Benjamin
  13. Demo 2 - Melinda Peng
  14. Demo 3 - Phil Jones
  15. Demo 4 - Gregg Jacobs
  16. Demo 5 - Jim Richman