Earth System Prediction Capability (ESPC) Demonstrations Workshop

November 13-15 in Boulder, Colorado

AGENDA

Tuesday, 13 November
  1. Check in/logistics
  2. Welcome Dan Eleuterio/Sandy MacDonald
  3. Invited speaker from ESG/RADM Titley - TBD
  4. ESPC Overview, Update, Workshop Goals — Dan Eleuterio/Jesse Carman
  5. Demonstration overviews by Demo Coordinators
  6. 1400: Demo 1 Overview - Stan Benjamin
  7. 1420: Demo 2 Overview - Melinda Peng
  8. 1440: Demo 3 Overview - Phil Jones
  9. Break
  10. 1520: Demo 4 Overview - Gregg Jacobs
  11. 1540: Demo 5 Overview - Jim Richman
  12. Introduction to discussion of common architecture, data repository, standards, demo goals
  13. Adjourn
Wednesday, 14 November
  1. Coffee, Continental Breakfast
  2. Demonstrations 1-3 Details and Science Plans
  3. Extreme Weather Events:
  4. Predictability of Blocking Events and High Impact Weather
  5. at Lead Times of 1-6 Weeks - Chair Stan Benjamin
  6. - Randy Dole, NOAA/ESRL/PSD
  7. - Arun Kumar, NOAA/NCEP/CPC
  8. - Judith Perlwitz, NOAA/ESRL/PSD
  9. Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Threat:
  10. Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Likelihood, Mean Track, and
  11. Intensity from Weekly to Seasonal Timescales - Melinda Peng
  12. - Suzana Camargo, U Columbia
  13. - Jae Schemm, NCEP/CPC
  14. - Russ Elsberry, NPS
  15. Break
  16. Arctic Sea Ice Predictability Beyond the Seasonal Scale - Phil Jones
  17. - Cecilia Bitz, U Washington
  18. - Marika Holland, NCAR
  19. - Pam Posey, NRL-SSC (Jim Richman presenting)
  20. Preliminary discussion of Demos 1-3 overlaps and coordination
  21. Working Lunch
  22. Demonstration Breakout Sessions
  23. Break
  24. Quick update on breakout sessions - issues, questions
  25. Continue Breakout Sessions
  26. Adjourn
Thursday, 15 November
  1. Coffee, Continental Breakfast
  2. Demonstrations 4 & 5 Details and Science Plans
  3. Coastal Seas: Predictability of Circulation, Hypoxia, and Harmful
  4. Algal Blooms at Lead Times of 1-6 Weeks - Gregg Jacobs
  5. -Bob Weisberg
  6. - Steve DiMarco
  7. - TBD
  8. Predictability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation from Monthly
  9. to Decadal Timescales for Improved Weather and Climate Forecasts - Jim Richman
  10. -Presentations by participants
  11. Break
  12. Q uick update on breakout sessions - issues, questions
  13. Continue Demonstration Breakout Sessions
  14. Working Lunch
  15. Demo Outbriefs, Discussion & Coordination
  16. 1300: Demo 1 Overview - Stan Benjamin
  17. 1325: Demo 2 Overview - Melinda Peng
  18. 1350: Demo 3 Overview - Phil Jones
  19. 1415: Demo 4 Overview - Gregg Jacobs
  20. 1440: Demo 5 Overview - Jim Richman
  21. Break
  22. Discussion of common architecture, data repository, standards, testing,
  23. coordination, next steps, decadal prediction, January AMS, December AGU, etc.
  24. Action items
  25. Adjourn

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