GSD Information Systems Branch: Probabilistic Forecasting

Project Contact Information: Paul Schultz
303.497.6997
Paul.J.Schultz@noaa.gov
Project Related Links: NOAA Forecast Uncertainty Steering Team (NFUSE); NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center; NOAA/NWS Hydrometeorological Prediction Center; NOAA Hydrometeorological TestBed Program; U of Washington Probabilistic Forecasting

GFE Probabilistic Phrasing in Text Products

ZFP-style phrasing

To get an idea of some possible probabilistic phrasing, run the experimental ZFP-style Probabilistic Phrases that are generated directly from the ensemble members (weighted or unweighted).

Must be a WFO site to run the ZFP-like phrases
Log in as GFETEST with TestConfig as the config file
Bring up the Formatter Launcher: Products --> Formatter Launcher
In the Formatter Launcher, choose Products --> ProbabilityPhrases
Click the "Run Formatter" button and choose options on the dialog

Weather elements
Time periods
Weighted or non-weighted ensembles
"Test Mode" to use just a few ensembles to speed performance

Phrases describing temperature, wind, and precipitation will appear

Note: Click on the image for full resolution.