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Documentation (CT2008)
Biosphere Oceans Observations Fires Fossil Fuel TM5 Nested Model Assimilation
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Observations [goto top]
1.   Introduction
The observations of CO2 mole fraction by NOAA ESRL and partner laboratories are at the heart of CarbonTracker. They inform us on changes in the carbon cycle, whether they are regular (such as the seasonal growth and decay of leaves and trees), or irregular (such as the release of tons of carbon by a wildfire). The results in CarbonTracker depend directly on the quality, amount and location of observations available, and the degree of detail at which we can monitor the carbon cycle reliably increases strongly with the density of our observing network.

2.   Detailed Description
This study uses measurements of air samples collected at surface sites in the NOAA ESRL Cooperative Global Air Sampling Network and the CSIRO Air Sampling Network available for each year studied, except those flagged for analysis or sampling problems, or those thought to be influenced by local sources. The sites for which data are available thus varies each week depending on successful sampling and analysis, and each site's sampling frequency. In addition, we use in situ quasi-continuous CO2 time series from six towers: (1) the 396m level of the LEF tower in Wisconsin; (2) the 107m level of the AMT tower in Argyle, Maine; (3) the 251m level of the WKT tower in Texas; (4) the 40m level of the tower in Fraserdale, Canada (FRD) operated by Environment Canada (EC); (5) the 30m level of the tower at Candle Lake (CDL, formerly Old Black Spruce), Canada operated by EC; and (6) the 60m level of the tower at the Atmospheric Radiation and Monitoring (ARM) program Southern Great Plains, Oklahoma site (SGP). Other in situ quasi-continuous CO2 time series used are from the NOAA ESRL observatories at Barrow (BRW), Mauna Loa (MLO), Samoa (SMO), and South Pole (SPO); the EC Canadian sites at Alert, Nunavut (ALT), Sable Island, Nova Scotia (SBL) and Egbert, Ontario (EGB); and the NCAR sites at Niwot Ridge, Colorado (NWR) and Storm Peak Laboratory, Colorado (SPL). Note that all of these observations are calibrated against the same world CO2 standard (WMO-2005). Also, note that aircraft observations from the NOAA ESRL program were NOT assimilated, but used for independent assessment of the CarbonTracker results.

For most of the quasi-continuous sampling sites, we construct an afternoon daytime average mole fraction for each day from the time series, recognizing that our atmospheric transport model does not always capture the continental nighttime stability regime while daytime well-mixed conditions are better matched. At mountain-top sites (MLO, NWR, and SPL), we use an average of nighttime hours as this tends to be the most stable time period and avoids periods of upslope flows that contain local vegetative and/or anthropogenic influence. Moreover, observations at sub-daily time scales are likely to be strongly correlated and therefore add relatively little independent information to our results. Also based on Transcom continuous simulations, we decided to move a set of coastal sites by one degree into the ocean to force the model sample to be more representative of the actual site conditions. These sites are labeled for reference in the complete table of sites used in CarbonTracker. Table 1 summarizes how data from the different measurement programs are preprocessed for this study.

The preprocessed data used in CarbonTracker are freely available for download. Preprocessed data are not the original measurement data! Users are encouraged to review the literature and contact the measurement labs directly for details about and access to the actual observations.

Table 1: Summary of CarbonTracker data preprocessing.
Measurement ProgramData Preprocessing
ESRL discrete surfaceAll retained data. Multiple values from the same day and location are averaged. No sample time-of-day restriction.
ESRL observatories (BRW, SMO, SPO)All baseline data. Day average using 12-16 LST.
ESRL observatories (MLO)All baseline data. Day average using 0-4 LST.
ESRL tower sitesAll valid data from highest intake. Day average using 12-16 LST.
EC in situ sitesAll valid data from highest intake. Day average using 12-16 LST.
NCAR in situ sitesAll valid data from highest intake where 1σ of hourly average < 1 ppm. Day average using 0-4 LST.
CSIRO discrete surfaceAll retained data. Multiple values from the same day and location are averaged. No sample time-of-day restriction.
LBNL in situ sitesAll valid data for the period 2003-2004. Day average using 14-18 LST.
We apply a further selection criterion during the assimilation to exclude non-marine boundary layer (MBL) observations that are very poorly forecasted in our framework. We use the so-called model-data mismatch in this process, which is the random error ascribed to each observation to account for measurement errors as well as modeling errors of that observation. We interpret an observed-minus-forecasted (OmF) mole fraction that exceeds 3 times the prescribed model-data mismatch as an indicator that our modeling framework fails. This can happen for instance when an air sample is representative of local exchange not captured well by our 1x1 degree fluxes, when local meteorological conditions are not captured by our offline transport fields, but also when large-scale CO2 exchange is suddenly changed (e.g. fires, pests, droughts) to an extent that can not be accommodated by our flux modules. This last situation would imply an important change in the carbon cycle and has to be recognized by the researchers when analyzing the results. In accordance with the 3-sigma rejection criterion, ~2% of the observations are discarded through this mechanism in our assimilations.

Table 2 gives a summary of the observing sites used in CarbonTracker and the assimilation performance. Model-data-mismatch ("r") is a value assigned to a given site that is meant to quantify our expected ability to simulate observations there. This value is principally determined from the limitations of the atmospheric transport model. It is part of the standard deviation used to interpret the difference between a simulation first guess ("Hx") of an observation and the actual measured value ("z"). The other component, HPHT is a measure of the ability of the ensemble Kalman filter to improve its simulated value for this observation by adjusting fluxes. These elements together form the innovation χ statistic for the site: χ = (z-Hx)/√(HPHT+r2). The innovation χ2 reported above is the mean of all squared χ values for a given site. An average χ2 below 1.0 indicates that the √(HPHT+r2) values are too large. Conversely, values above 1.0 mean that this standard deviation is underestimated. The bias and SE columns are statistics of the posterior residuals (final modeled values - measured values). The bias is the mean of these residuals; the SE is the standard error of those residuals.

Table 2: Summary of observing sites used in CarbonTracker and assimilation performance.
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
ALT_01D0 ESRL Alert, Nunavut, Canada 82.45°N 62.52°W 200 385 385 0 1.50 0.47 0.11 0.87
ALT_06C0 EC Alert, Nunavut, Canada 82.45°N 62.51°W 200 2597 2597 0 2.50 0.22 0.21 1.02
AMT_01C3 ESRL Argyle, Maine, United States 45.03°N 68.68°W 50 1368 1355 13 3.00 1.04 0.49 3.30
ASC_01D0 ESRL Ascension Island, United Kingdom 7.92°S 14.42°W 54 677 677 0 0.75 0.97 -0.07 0.68
ASK_01D0 ESRL Assekrem, Algeria 23.17°N 5.42°E 2728 354 354 0 1.50 0.39 0.09 0.93
AZR_01D0 ESRL Terceira Island, Azores, Portugal 38.75°N 27.20°W 40 262 256 6 1.50 1.24 0.52 1.56
BAL_01D0 ESRL Baltic Sea, Poland 55.43°N 16.93°E 3 652 652 0 7.50 0.41 -1.06 4.62
BKT_01D0 ESRL Bukit Kototabang, Indonesia 0.20°S 100.31°E 864 139 139 0 7.50 0.72 5.39 3.51
BME_01D0 ESRL St. Davids Head, Bermuda, United Kingdom 32.37°N 64.65°W 30 225 216 9 1.50 2.00 0.80 1.98
BMW_01D0 ESRL Tudor Hill, Bermuda, United Kingdom 32.27°N 64.87°W 30 260 259 1 1.50 1.14 0.64 1.40
BRW_01C0 ESRL Barrow, Alaska, United States 72.32°N 156.60°W 11 2218 2202 1 2.50 0.32 0.24 1.16
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
BRW_01D0 ESRL Barrow, Alaska, United States 72.32°N 156.59°W 11 360 358 2 1.50 0.84 0.24 1.15
BSC_01D0 ESRL Black Sea, Constanta, Romania 44.17°N 29.67°E 3 300 298 2 7.50 0.91 -2.55 6.78
CBA_01D0 ESRL Cold Bay, Alaska, United States 54.20°N 162.72°W 21 612 590 22 1.50 1.78 -0.19 1.92
CDL_06C3 EC Candle Lake, Saskatchewan, Canada 53.99°N 105.12°W 600 1733 1728 5 3.00 0.68 0.46 2.31
CFA_02D0 CSIRO Cape Ferguson, Queensland, Australia 19.28°S 147.06°E 2 142 142 0 2.50 0.42 -0.87 1.15
CGO_01D0 ESRL Cape Grim, Tasmania, Australia 40.67°S 143.67°E 94 317 317 0 0.75 0.19 -0.06 0.36
CGO_02D0 CSIRO Cape Grim, Tasmania, Australia 40.68°S 143.68°E 94 311 311 0 0.75 0.19 -0.11 0.35
CHR_01D0 ESRL Christmas Island, Republic of Kiribati 1.70°N 157.17°W 3 309 309 0 0.75 1.30 -0.59 0.53
CRZ_01D0 ESRL Crozet Island, France 46.45°S 51.85°E 120 275 275 0 0.75 0.25 -0.09 0.35
CYA_02D0 CSIRO Casey, Antarctica, Australia 66.28°S 110.52°E 51 149 149 0 0.75 0.48 -0.40 0.29
EGB_06C3 EC Egbert, Ontario, Canada 44.23°N 79.78°W 226 900 858 42 3.00 1.84 1.36 4.19
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
EIC_01D0 ESRL Easter Island, Chile 27.14°S 109.45°W 50 187 187 0 7.50 0.03 0.81 0.98
FRD_06C3 EC Fraserdale, Canada 49.88°N 81.57°W 210 2637 2618 19 3.00 0.74 0.33 2.78
GMI_01D0 ESRL Mariana Islands, Guam 13.42°N 144.77°E 1 562 562 0 1.50 0.39 0.09 0.93
HBA_01D0 ESRL Halley Station, Antarctica, United Kingdom 75.57°S 26.50°W 30 369 369 0 0.75 0.20 -0.17 0.26
HUN_01D0 ESRL Hegyhatsal, Hungary 46.95°N 16.64°E 248 369 367 2 7.50 0.49 0.01 5.12
ICE_01D0 ESRL Storhofdi, Vestmannaeyjar, Iceland 62.29°N 20.21°W 118 355 354 1 1.50 0.56 0.07 1.03
IZO_01D0 ESRL Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain 28.30°N 16.47°W 2360 295 293 2 1.50 1.18 1.02 1.30
KEY_01D0 ESRL Key Biscayne, Florida, United States 25.67°N 79.20°W 3 250 250 0 2.50 0.36 0.18 1.45
KUM_01D0 ESRL Cape Kumukahi, Hawaii, United States 19.52°N 154.82°W 3 359 359 0 1.50 0.41 0.17 0.94
KZD_01D0 ESRL Sary Taukum, Kazakhstan 44.45°N 75.57°E 412 372 371 1 2.50 1.48 0.63 2.53
KZM_01D0 ESRL Plateau Assy, Kazakhstan 43.25°N 77.87°E 2519 327 326 1 2.50 1.22 0.32 2.76
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
LEF_01C3 ESRL Park Falls, Wisconsin, United States 45.93°N 90.27°W 472 4977 2465 35 3.00 0.91 0.29 3.53
MAA_02D0 CSIRO Mawson Station, Antarctica, Australia 67.62°S 62.87°E 32 161 161 0 0.75 0.40 -0.36 0.26
MHD_01D0 ESRL Mace Head, County Galway, Ireland 53.32°N 10.90°W 25 301 301 0 2.50 0.22 0.02 1.13
MID_01D0 ESRL Sand Island, Midway, United States 28.21°N 177.37°W 4 360 360 0 1.50 0.70 0.59 1.10
MKN_01D0 ESRL Mt. Kenya, Kenya 0.05°S 37.29°E 3897 75 75 0 2.50 1.13 1.82 1.92
MLO_01C0 ESRL Mauna Loa, Hawaii, United States 19.54°N 155.58°W 3397 2519 2519 0 0.75 0.88 0.17 0.68
MLO_01D0 ESRL Mauna Loa, Hawaii, United States 19.53°N 155.57°W 3397 415 415 0 1.50 0.23 0.13 0.69
MQA_02D0 CSIRO Macquarie Island, Australia 54.48°S 158.97°E 12 197 197 0 0.75 0.32 -0.10 0.41
NMB_01D0 ESRL Gobabeb, Namibia 23.57°S 15.02°E 456 48 48 0 2.50 0.18 -0.14 1.05
NWR_01D0 ESRL Niwot Ridge, Colorado, United States 40.04°N 105.57°W 3523 356 354 2 1.50 0.93 0.55 1.38
NWR_03C3 NCAR Niwot Ridge, Colorado, United States 40.05°N 105.58°W 3523 1364 682 0 3.00 0.33 -0.08 1.64
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
OBN_01D0 ESRL Obninsk, Russia 55.10°N 36.60°E 183 123 118 5 7.50 2.71 -3.00 12.72
OXK_01D0 ESRL Ochsenkopf, Germany 50.03°N 11.80°E 1022 81 73 8 2.50 3.29 0.31 3.71
PAL_01D0 ESRL Pallas-Sammaltunturi, GAW Station, Finland 67.96°N 24.11°E 560 236 234 2 2.50 0.88 0.05 2.10
POC_01D1 ESRL Pacific Ocean, N/A 0.33°S 130.05°W 10 1668 1666 0 0.75 1.08 -0.12 0.70
PSA_01D0 ESRL Palmer Station, Antarctica, United States 64.92°S 64.00°W 10 380 380 0 0.75 0.40 -0.25 0.34
PTA_01D0 ESRL Point Arena, California, United States 38.95°N 124.72°W 17 251 251 0 7.50 0.40 -2.56 3.95
RPB_01D0 ESRL Ragged Point, Barbados 13.17°N 59.42°W 45 366 366 0 1.50 0.79 0.20 1.31
SBL_06C3 EC Sable Island, Nova Scotia, Canada 49.93°N 60.02°W 5 1517 1477 40 3.00 1.27 0.10 3.39
SEY_01D0 ESRL Mahe Island, Seychelles 4.67°S 55.17°E 3 348 348 0 0.75 1.00 -0.05 0.74
SGP_01D0 ESRL Southern Great Plains, Oklahoma, United States 36.70°N 97.49°W 314 575 559 16 2.50 1.27 0.06 2.81
SGP_64C3 LBNL Southern Great Plains, Oklahoma, United States 36.80°N 97.50°W 314 705 697 8 3.00 1.26 0.32 3.25
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
SHM_01D0 ESRL Shemya Island, Alaska, United States 52.72°N 174.09°E 40 294 293 1 2.50 0.86 0.09 2.26
SMO_01C0 ESRL Tutuila, American Samoa 14.24°S 170.57°W 42 2578 2554 0 0.75 0.54 -0.01 0.53
SMO_01D0 ESRL Tutuila, American Samoa 14.24°S 170.57°W 42 421 421 0 1.50 0.15 -0.02 0.54
SPL_03C3 NCAR Storm Peak Laboratory (Desert Research Institute), United States 40.45°N 106.73°W 3210 1504 751 0 3.00 0.44 -0.31 1.78
SPO_01C0 ESRL South Pole, Antarctica, United States 89.98°S 24.80°W 2810 2780 2779 0 0.75 0.17 -0.13 0.28
SPO_01D0 ESRL South Pole, Antarctica, United States 89.97°S 24.80°W 2810 392 392 0 1.50 0.04 -0.05 0.28
STM_01D0 ESRL Ocean Station M, Norway 66.00°N 2.00°E 0 684 678 3 1.50 0.79 0.28 1.20
SUM_01D0 ESRL Summit, Greenland 72.57°N 38.47°W 3238 281 281 0 1.50 0.50 0.36 0.93
SYO_01D0 ESRL Syowa Station, Antarctica, Japan 69.00°S 39.57°E 11 186 186 0 0.75 0.36 -0.34 0.25
TAP_01D0 ESRL Tae-ahn Peninsula, Republic of Korea 35.72°N 125.12°E 20 275 273 2 7.50 0.63 1.79 5.58
TDF_01D0 ESRL Tierra Del Fuego, Ushuaia, Argentina 54.87°S 68.47°W 20 107 107 0 0.75 0.41 -0.13 0.44
Site code Lab. Location Latitude Longitude Elev. (m ASL) No. Obs. Avail. No. Obs. Used No. Obs. Rej. r (μmol mol-1) Innov. χ2 Bias (μmol mol-1) SE (μmol mol-1)
THD_01D0 ESRL Trinidad Head, California, United States 41.03°N 125.15°W 107 233 209 24 2.50 3.59 -2.48 4.08
UTA_01D0 ESRL Wendover, Utah, United States 39.89°N 114.72°W 1320 339 339 0 2.50 0.60 0.27 1.82
UUM_01D0 ESRL Ulaan Uul, Mongolia 44.45°N 111.09°E 914 369 367 2 2.50 1.02 -0.21 2.50
WIS_01D0 ESRL Sede Boker, Negev Desert, Israel 31.12°N 34.87°E 400 392 391 1 2.50 0.72 0.07 2.07
WKT_01C3 ESRL Moody, Texas, United States 31.32°N 97.33°W 251 2406 1198 11 3.00 0.95 0.55 3.05
WLG_01D0 ESRL Mt. Waliguan, Peoples Republic of China 36.28°N 100.91°E 3810 260 254 6 1.50 1.44 -0.14 1.83
ZEP_01D0 ESRL Ny-Alesund, Svalbard, Norway and Sweden 78.90°N 11.87°E 475 448 445 3 1.50 0.87 0.53 1.10
All-site summary - - - 47417 47119 298 - 0.72 0.12 2.39

3.   Further Reading